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Edward Hollett's avatar

The premise of this piece, like the premise of Smith's book, is that whatever is happening right now is wildly different than what just happened.

The era of great power competition is back.

Not at all.

The era of great power competition never stopped. We simply transitioned through a phase. reflecting the prevailing thinking at the turn of the century, Smith imagines that we will just see minor regional conflicts forever. It's ultimately as superficial as Gwyn Dyer's claim in the 1990s that war as such was over and what we'd see based solely on the early stages of the post Soviet Union stage that all future conflict would be civil war.

The logic of force *is* enduring but this phrase is, in his use, a cliche. It's used the same way people quote some Clausewitz words about the continuation of politics to somehow give a veneer to whatever the latest fad is. Ready, relevant, and resilient is another of these bureaucratic management buzzwords that has no intrinsic meaning.

In 1968, the defence review started with the basic premise that the first principle of Canadian defence policy was the defence of Canada... a tautology... and never really explained the relationship between forces and capabilities and the goal itself. we talk of spending arbitrary shares of GDP on defence, bureaucratically quibble about what we are counting inside that and never actually discuss what military capability Canada needs to actually accomplish a given defence purpose like asserting sovereignty on all our coasts and our borders against an adversary.

The poverty of this approach is seen in everything from COP BROADSWORD (we are unable to meet our commitment to NATO of deploying and sustaining a combat brigade), to SOmalia, to the former Yugoslavia to the recent PLA Navy deployments to the Canadian arctic, which Canada could barely surveil and which official the Cdn government suppressed discussion of.

What we are seeing now in Canada is nothing more than the classic Canadian "defence" discussion of contractors and provinces lining up for a share of the federal gravy. Any actual military capability that comes of it will be accidental. Our defence policy is pork: Ross Rifles and Macadam shield shovels, not actual military forces capable of meeting Canadian policy ends beyond local economic development.

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Dan Benoit's avatar

Excellent piece- I personally prefer a peacekeeping and defensive role for Canada, but if required, peacemaking may be required. I worry that Indigenous rights and reconciliation will be put on the back burner, and I wonder how we can work with Canada’s Indigenous Peoples in our military transformation. I am sure you have thoughts that you could share on this.

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